Another Increase in California Foreclosure Activity
July 22, 2008
La Jolla, CA.--Lenders started foreclosure proceedings on a record
number of California homeowners last quarter, the result of declining
home values and the rampant spoilage of a batch of especially risky home
loans made in late 2005 and 2006, a real estate information service
reported.
Mortgage servicers recorded 121,341 "notices of default" during the
April-through-June period. That was up 6.6 percent from a revised 113,809
for this year's first quarter, and up 124.9 percent from 53,943 in
second-quarter 2007, according to DataQuick Information Systems.
Last quarter's number of defaults was the highest in DataQuick's
statistics, which go back to 1992.
"It's still very clear that most of the problems are in certain
areas and in certain categories. Basically, areas that absorbed spillover
activity during the end of the boom cycle in 2006 seem to be the hardest
hit. Prices went too high, fueled by the availability of easy-to-get
dicey home loans. An added element was speculative buying," said John
Walsh, DataQuick president.
"The small increase in defaults from the first to the second quarter
may indicate that we're nearing a plateau. We won't know until the end of
the year, but it may be that some lenders are starting to prioritize
workouts with homeowners instead of grinding things through the
foreclosure process. Of course, they may just be swamped and can't handle
processing any more paperwork," he said.
Most of the loans that went into default last quarter were
originated between September 2005 and November 2006. The median age was
26 months, up from 16 months a year earlier.
On primary mortgages, California homeowners were a median five
months behind on their payments when the lender filed the notice of
default. The borrowers owed a median $11,583 on a median $346,400
mortgage.
On home equity loans and lines of credit, homeowners were a median
eight months behind on their payments. Borrowers owed a median $3,492 on
a median $60,000 credit line. However the amount of the credit line that
was actually in use cannot be determined from public records.
DataQuick, a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and
Associates, monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides
information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies,
lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts. Notices of
Default are recorded at county recorders offices and mark the first step
of the formal foreclosure process.
Although 121,341 default notices were filed last quarter, they
involved 118,020 homes because some borrowers were in default on multiple
loans (e.g. a primary mortgage and a line of credit).
Last quarter's default numbers were a record in almost all of the
state's 58 counties. That included Los Angeles County, where last
quarter's 21,632 residential defaults surpassed the prior record of
21,444 recorded during first-quarter 1996.
On a loan-by-loan basis, mortgages were least likely to go into
default in San Francisco, Marin, and San Mateo counties - an historical
norm. The likelihood was highest in Merced, San Joaquin and Stanislaus
counties.
Of the homeowners in default, an estimated 22 percent emerge from
the foreclosure process by bringing their payments current, refinancing,
or selling the home and paying off what they owe. A year ago it was about
52 percent. The increased portion of homes lost to foreclosure reflects
the slow real estate market, as well as the number of homes bought during
the height of the market with multiple-loan financing, which makes 'work-
outs' difficult.
Multiple-loan financing peaked in Q4 of 2006 at 60.9 percent of all
financed home purchases. Last quarter it was 11.5 percent.
Trustees Deeds recorded, or the actual loss of a home to
foreclosure, totaled 63,061 during the second quarter. That's the highest
since DataQuick began tracking Trustees Deeds in 1988. Last quarter's
total rose 33.5 percent from 47,221 in the previous quarter, and jumped
261.0 percent from 17,458 in second quarter 2007. In the last real estate
cycle, Trustees Deeds peaked at 15,418 in third-quarter 1996. The all-
time low was 637 in the second quarter of 2005.
There are 8.4 million houses and condos in the state, DataQuick
reported.
Foreclosure resales have emerged as a significant market factor,
accounting for 40.0 percent of all California resale activity last
quarter. A year ago it was 5.4 percent. Foreclosure resales vary
significantly by area, from 3.0 percent in San Francisco County to 75.1
percent in Merced County.
Notices of Default
houses and condos
|
County/Region |
2007Q2 |
2008Q2 |
Yr/Yr% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Los
Angeles |
10,393 |
21,632 |
108.1% |
|
Orange |
2,984 |
7,348 |
146.2% |
| San
Diego |
4,383 |
9,519 |
117.2% |
|
Riverside |
6,648 |
14,974 |
125.2% |
| San
Bernardino |
5,141 |
11,817 |
129.9% |
|
Ventura |
1,059 |
2,303 |
117.5% |
|
Imperial |
220 |
635 |
188.6% |
| Socal |
30,828 |
68,228 |
121.3% |
|
|
|
|
|
| San
Francisco |
257 |
418 |
62.6% |
|
Alameda |
1,612 |
3,812 |
136.5% |
| Contra
Costa |
2,316 |
5,046 |
117.9% |
| Santa
Clara |
1,275 |
3,751 |
194.2% |
| San
Mateo |
463 |
1,066 |
130.2% |
|
Marin |
118 |
284 |
140.7% |
|
Solano |
1,065 |
2,427 |
127.9% |
|
Sonoma |
462 |
1,376 |
197.8% |
|
Napa |
128 |
336 |
162.5% |
| Bay
Area |
7,696 |
18,516 |
140.6% |
|
|
|
|
|
| Santa
Cruz |
155 |
531 |
242.6% |
| Santa
Barbara |
434 |
922 |
112.4% |
| San Luis
Obispo |
208 |
499 |
139.9% |
|
Monterey |
483 |
1,688 |
249.5% |
|
Coast |
1,280 |
3,640 |
184.4% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sacramento |
3,840 |
7,325 |
90.8% |
| San
Joaquin |
1,983 |
4,795 |
141.8% |
|
Placer |
627 |
1,122 |
78.9% |
|
Kern |
1,593 |
3,459 |
117.1% |
|
Fresno |
1,380 |
2,821 |
104.4% |
|
Madera |
215 |
555 |
158.1% |
|
Merced |
642 |
1,936 |
201.6% |
|
Tulare |
428 |
1,099 |
156.8% |
|
Yolo |
232 |
548 |
136.2% |
| El
Dorado |
222 |
442 |
99.1% |
|
Stanislaus |
1,286 |
3,464 |
169.4% |
|
Kings |
75 |
188 |
150.7% |
| San
Benito |
122 |
290 |
137.7% |
|
Yuba |
171 |
373 |
118.1% |
|
Colusa |
39 |
92 |
135.9% |
|
Sutter |
109 |
374 |
243.1% |
| Central
Valley |
12,964 |
28,883 |
122.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mountains* |
328 |
662 |
101.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
| North Calif* |
847 |
1,412 |
66.7% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statewide* |
53,943 |
121,341 |
124.9% |
* includes additional counties
Trustees Deeds Recorded
houses and condos
|
County/Region |
2007Q2 |
2008Q2 |
Yr/Yr% |
| |
|
|
|
| Los Angeles |
2,581 |
9,609 |
272.3% |
| Orange |
821 |
3,085 |
275.8% |
| San Diego |
1,714 |
4,807 |
180.5% |
| Riverside |
2,517 |
8,814 |
250.2% |
| San Bernardino |
1,505 |
6,251 |
315.3% |
| Ventura |
316 |
1,123 |
255.4% |
| Imperial |
74 |
305 |
312.2% |
| Socal |
9,528 |
33,994 |
256.8% |
| |
|
|
|
| San Francisco |
50 |
141 |
182.0% |
| Alameda |
497 |
1,709 |
243.9% |
| Contra Costa |
777 |
2,965 |
281.6% |
| Santa Clara |
255 |
1,560 |
511.8% |
| San Mateo |
97 |
347 |
257.7% |
| Marin |
25 |
128 |
412.0% |
| Solano |
324 |
1,406 |
334.0% |
| Sonoma |
163 |
788 |
383.4% |
| Napa |
34 |
162 |
376.5% |
| Bay Area |
2,222 |
9,206 |
314.3% |
| |
|
|
|
| Santa Cruz |
46 |
232 |
404.3% |
| Santa Barbara |
137 |
443 |
223.4% |
| San Luis Obispo |
55 |
177 |
221.8% |
| Monterey |
156 |
847 |
442.9% |
| Coast |
394 |
1,699 |
331.2% |
| |
|
|
|
| Sacramento |
1,662 |
4,475 |
169.3% |
| San Joaquin |
792 |
3,185 |
302.1% |
| Placer |
220 |
572 |
160.0% |
| Kern |
533 |
2,048 |
284.2% |
| Fresno |
402 |
1,412 |
251.2% |
| Madera |
55 |
311 |
465.5% |
| Merced |
243 |
1,223 |
403.3% |
| Tulare |
142 |
519 |
265.5% |
| Yolo |
103 |
293 |
184.5% |
| El Dorado |
89 |
196 |
120.2% |
| Stanislaus |
522 |
2,207 |
322.8% |
| Kings |
27 |
65 |
140.7% |
| San Benito |
38 |
166 |
336.8% |
| Yuba |
84 |
224 |
166.7% |
| Colusa |
9 |
58 |
544.4% |
| Sutter |
57 |
202 |
254.4% |
| Central Valley |
4,978 |
17,156 |
244.6% |
| |
|
|
|
| Mountains* |
90 |
300 |
233.3% |
| |
|
|
|
| North Calif* |
246 |
676 |
174.8% |
| |
|
|
|
| Statewide |
17,458 |
63,031 |
261.0% |
Source: DataQuick Information Systems
Media calls: Andrew LePage (916)456-7157 or John Karevoll (909)867-9534
Copyright 2008 DataQuick Information Systems. All rights reserved.